NEWS

Must read - "2015 - The big fall of Western real estate" by Sylvain Perifel and Philippe Schneider

The importance of the housing market in our economy necessitates that medium term developments be predicted to adjust strategies and investments, or to mitigate the consequences of its sharp changes. However, many articles drawing completely conflicting conclusions obscure our view.

This book sheds light on the question in anticipating, on a solid foundation the changes in residential property prices during the next decade. To this end, the phenomena involved are explained and the underlying trends and resulting findings analyzed, especially from economic, social and demographic factors.

The analyses and recommendations given in this book will help the various players in the housing market: households, investors and politicians.

14x20,5 cm - 188 pages - 20,00 €

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LEAP Academy - 2010/2011 Prom’

LEAP is proud to present the promotion of its second year of training in Political Anticipation :

Alfred Bricka, Administrateur de sociétés / Dominique Bruch, Consultant technique / Luc Brunet, Directeur du Centre National des Risques Industriels / Marianne Cormier, Juriste en cabinet d’avocats / Jérôme Gonzalez, Dirigeant d’une société de nouvelles technologies / Christel Hahn, PhD Physics / Patrick Lusson, Délégué général de la Région Rhône Alpes à Bruxelles / Edouard Payen, Arolla Partners, Mindfulness en entreprises (formation) / Sylvain Périfel, Enseignant chercheur / Margit Reiser-Schober, Political scientist, Public relation and Press officer / Philippe Schneider, Conseil en Gestion de Patrimoine Indépendant / Pedro Simoes, Etudiant / Juan Vargas, CEO Business Model Partners / Bernard Volatron, Independent analyst / Maria Zei, Ingénieur-chercheur études des risques

These fifteen people, coming from various sectors (finance, social, local communities,...), all readers of the GEAB, followed the three days of training proposed this year 2010/11 by LEAP, wrote high quality anticipations, and were thus awarded the LEAP Académie Certificate.


Franck Biancheri’s book "World crisis: The Path to the World Afterwards" published by éditions Anticipolis !

The financial and economic crisis that the world has been facing in the past two years marks the end of the world order established after 1945. In 1989, the “Soviet pillar” has collapsed and we are now witnessing the accelerated decomposition of the “Western pillar” with the United States at the heart of the process of disintegration...

Order from Editions Anticipolis


Do GEAB yourself with the ‘Manual of political anticipation’!

The Manual of Political Anticipation is now available in French, English, German and Spanish. Thanks to this tool designed by Marie-Hélène Caillol, head of LEAP, each and everyone can do his/her own GEAB and give some thought to the assets and limits of political anticipation. At a time when the world is crossing a critical historical threshold, this Manual is a unique decision support instrument for groups or individuals. The book is on sale on the website site of Anticipolis Publishing (60 pages / 10€).


Six years of GEAB archives now available for 220 euros!

Yesterday’s anticipation is today’s news!

For 220 euros TTC, get codes (for 1 month) and download all the archive-issues of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (1).

Order now!

(1) Important! This offer includes ALL past issues BUT the last 7 ones


GEAB N°74 (April 16, 2013) - Contents

Global systemic crisis – The war has been declared between the economicpolitical world and the financial-banking interests

The current period is a typical example where an impressive number of explosive factors are combining: new financial bubbles inflated by massive injections of public money, worldwide geopolitical instability, currency wars, political the beginning of the political war against “financial terrorism”, political crisis in Europe… (page 2)

(En savoir +)


2013-2014 – « Icelandisation of the crisis’ management : Bail-in, the new template for too-big-to-fail banks…

The Cypriot crisis is the most dramatic recent example where bank creditors, in this case depositors, are involved in a bank restructuring. For large depositors especially this should not come as a surprise given our analyses in combination with the structure and size of the Cypriot financial sector... (page 11)

(En savoir +)


The world after is evolving : Syria and Mali, two tangible cases where the global systemic crisis opens up regional prospects

Between a weakened and irresolute Western block and China-Russia which is not yet legitimate enough to really impose its views, regional relationships finally find the space necessary to progress. Two actual cases, Mali and Syria, prove it by different paths, whose crises currently reinforce a languishing regional integration.… (page 17)

(En savoir +)


Strategic and operational recommendations

. Stocks and shares : what goes up comes down

. Commodities : not only oil is at risk

. Currencies : watch out Yen and Pound !

. Investment : a loan is not the bank’s exclusive domain… (page 21)

(En savoir +)


The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses

A relative calm, quite surprising taking into account the last 30 days news, is revealed by this month’s survey. Pessimism still has its place but no more than last month, even less on several points … (page 24)

(En savoir +)


LAST PAPERS

Public announcement GEAB N°74 (April 16, 2013)

Last minute comments After the deadline for this GEAB number last Saturday evening, our team has closely watched the unusual coincidence of all the market indicators’ collapsing: European, American and Asian stock exchanges, raw materials… and even and especially gold. Unfortunately we don’t ...


par Christel Hahn

Last summer (29.6.2012) the leaders of the alpine regions met in Bad Ragaz, Switzerland. In a way this was one of many similar meetings, but it was exceptional, because the number of participating regions had increased, among the participants there were representatives of the Italian Lega Nord ...


Report of the 3rd Euro-BRICS Seminar

PROGRAMME AND PARTICIPANTS The world continues to move through an historical crisis which marks the end of the systems and power relationships dominating the world since the end of the Second World War. The dynamics at the heart of the events of accelerated globalisation and markets’ unbridled ...


par Frédéric Beaugeard

Lorsqu’il s’agit de comprendre le Monde Contemporain en vue d’en analyser ses possibles futures évolutions, force est de constater que le principe apparent de synergie regroupant les différents éléments le composant n’était qu’une apparence trompeuse. Les principaux acteurs de la Modernité, Europe, ...


- Excerpt GEAB N°57 (September 15, 2011) -

On March 29, 2009, Franck Biancheri signed an open letter in the Financial Times international edition from LEAP/E2020 to the G20 leaders who were going to meet in London the next week. In its introduction, this text predicted that if the three recommendations it contained were not implemented ...


- Except book "World crisis - The Path to the World Afterwards" by Franck BIancheri, Director of Studies at LEAP and GEAB coordinator -

The crisis, because it wasn’t anticipated by world leaders, is advancing at its own speed. In 2009 the financial efforts, without historical precedent, of the United States, Europe, China, Japan and other countries have allowed only two things to happen: to anesthetize the general population in ...


by Jean-Paul GUICHARD, ’Jean Monnet’ European Chair, University of Nice Sophia-Antipolis

Careful thought on the finality of European programmes intended for the university level is a must. These programmes present a major flaw, essentially being one-way, but one which can be surmounted, as the University of Nice has proven with its considerable experience in teaching double degree ...


by Héctor R. Sánchez

"In the geopolitical sphere today, … , it is not unreasonable to say that, while the great continental powers in Eurasia, Russia, China and India, are in an excellent state of economic growth, technological development and growing political influence, the great maritime powers, like the United ...


by Prof. Loukas Tsoukalis*

As the drama unfolds and the plot thickens, new actors join the stage and the tension rises. Purgation, or catharsis, releases emotions at the final stage of Greek tragedies. We may soon find out what form this will take in the real life drama the Greek economy is going through today, with or ...


by Farish A. Noor, Senior fellow RSIS*

Executive Summary: • The current dispute between Malaysia and Indonesia over the question of cultural copyright has led to instances of mob activism in the streets of Jakarta and other cities and the rising of tempers on both sides. • However it should be noted that the sudden rise of ...


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