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GLOBAL
GOUVERNANCE |
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Global
systemic crisis - April 2007: Inflexion point
of the phase of impact / US economy enters
recession
Public
announcement GEAB N°12 (February 16, 2007) |
| As
anticipated last January in GEAB N°11,
the « fog of statistics » is now
clearing and US economic trends appear clearly
(retail sales at a standstill in January 2007,
record high trade deficit in 2006, downward
revision of US growth for 2006, Fed's confirmation
of economic slowdown, serial defaults among
mortgage lending organisations, continued
collapse of US housing market,...).
Read more...
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NEIGHBORHOOD |
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A
future role of foreign firms in Russia’s
strategic industries
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INSTITUTIONS |
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The
future of the EU constitutional project: Analysis
of the converging capacity among the various
institutional players
Abstract
GEAB N°2 ( February 16, 2006)
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GLOBAL
GOUVERNANCE |
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FALLING
EMPIRES AND THEIR CURRENCIES:
ROME, FRANCE, ENGLAND AND THE USA
Part
1: From the Fall of Rome to the Fall of the
British Empire and Part 2:From England to
the United States of America
by Rolf Nef |
| When
empires fall, their currencies fall first.
Even clearer is the rising debt of empires
in decline, because in most cases their physical
expansion is financed with debt. In each case
presented we have some useful statistical
data to show the drama. Every case is different,
but the common thing is that the currencies
of each and every one of these falling empires
lost dramatically in value. Let me go through
every case starting with the Romans:
Read more... |
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| TRIBUNE |
La génération Erasmus fête
ses 20 ans |
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| GRANDS
PRIX |
Grands
Prix 2006 - And the Winners are ... |
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Newropeans-Magazine
is happy to announce the results of the
Grands Prix Newropeans for the European
democratisation 2006. |
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| TRIBUNE |
Euro,
BCE, ou les absences de nos "présidentiables"
(La Croix 13/11/06) |
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"La
marge de manoeuvre d'un futur président
français
en matière socio-économique
est extrêmement faible,
même s'il dispose d'une majorité
à l'Assemblée."
Read
the article: La Croix
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| GEAB |
Fall
offer: |
 |
Subscribe
to LEAP/E2020's confidential letter, the
GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, and
get free the "Big GEAB 1-6",
the compilation of GEAB's first six numbers!
Subscription : 200 euros
TTC for 10P yearly numbers + the 6 first
numbers for free
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| CONFERENCE |
LEAP/E2020
participates in Workshop on global extremism,
terror and response strategies |
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On
August 6-7, in Alexandria (Egypt), LEAP/E2020,
in the person of Franck Biancheri, was
invited to present the European perspective
in a top-level round-table on “global
extremism, terror and response strategies”
organised by the Strategic Foresight
Group and SMWIPM Institute for Peace
Studies at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.
Strategic
Foresight Group |
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| MEDIA |
The
Global Systemic Crisis seen by the Belgian
economic magazine Trends |
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'Krach
- The 5 looming threats' - In a 5 pages
special file of its June 15th issue, the
Belgian weekly business magazine Trends/Tendances,
comments Leap/E2020's analyses presented
in the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin
and in the regular public announcements:
'On February 16, Franck Biancheri published
a study anticipating the imminent emerging
of a "global systemic crisis".
On the Internet, his analysis meets a
resounding success...
Read
article ... |
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| TOOL |
Europe2020/LEAP
launches a new decision support tool :
the "GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin" |
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| BOOK |
Harald
Greib: Berlin mit Bitte um Weisung |
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"Berlin
mit Bitte um Weisung" ist ein
Buch über den alltäglichen
Wahnsinn eines Systems – geschrieben
von einem, der ihn Jahre lang als Mitarbeiter
der Ständigen Vertretung Deutschlands
bei der EU miterlebte. In ironisch-humorvoller
Weise beschreibt der Autor das Chaos
eines Systems, das der Kontrolle seiner
Schöpfer entglitten ist. Der Roman
ist eine Satire auf die Brüsseler
Nomenklatura, über den alltäglichen
Wahnsinn eines Systems.
Info
und bestellen |
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| PARTNER |
Europe
2020 knits a partnership with India-based
think-tank Strategic Foresight Group |
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Europe
2020 and Strategic Foresight Group have
decided to join forces and formalize
a partnership based on exchanging contents
and links, and on organizing common
seminars of anticipation. The Strategic
Foresight Group is a think-tank based
in Bombay and headed by Sundeep Waslekar
that conducts research and launches
policy change initiatives to help decision
makers to anticipate and influence the
future in uncertain times.
Strategic
Foresight Group |
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| INTERVIEW |
Europe
2020's analysis of Turkey revealed on
CNBC-Europe |
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On
October 29th, 2005, 10.30 am (CET), Franck
Biancheri was interviewed life from Paris
as part of the CNBC-Europe programme "Morning
Exchange" in triplex (Paris, London,
Brussels) on EU and Turkey |
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| MEDIA |
Europe
2020 mentioned in Le Monde |
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Europe
2020 was recently acknowledged one of
a list of 5 think-tanks based in France
in an article by Le Monde (March 29th,
2005) under the title : "The very
pro-European action of some think-labs"
Read
article ... |
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February
19th 2007
GlobalEurope
Anticipation Bulletin N°12
Sommaire
Global
systemic crisis - April 2007: Inflexion
point of the phase of impact / US economy
enters recession
In this February issue, LEAP/E2020
details the nature and sequence of ongoing
developments meant for all concerned
players (currency or financial market
operators, investors, international
traders, political and economic decisions-makers
or analysts) to better anticipate events.
Strategy is time mastery! In the present
issue of GEAB, our teams endeavoured
to build a device to overcome this quarter's
accelerating developments…
(Read
public announcement )
‘9-UP AND 9-DOWN’
– Eighteen key-trends for 2007:
Nine issues will soar along the year
– Nine issues will vanish by the
end of the year
This list can help readers of GEAB to
make the most of their time spent on
reading the news. Helping you to reduce
the time wasted reading articles about
issues with minor impact on the course
of events, and on the contrary inviting
you to take more time on issues that
will be at the centre of tomorrow's
trends, such is the aim of this list
of 18 up and down trends in 2007. Yen
carry-trade, opposition between «
new » and « old »
EU member states, « war on terror
», Russian president Vladimir
Putin, Doha round, European Constitution,
hedge funds, etc… Up or Down,
what do you think?
(Learn
more )
French presidential election 2007: The
first round might bring along big surprises
A little more than two months
before France's upcoming presidential
election, LEAP/E2020 would like to update
its May 2006 anticipations on that matter.
It is now possible to distinguish quite
clearly the first round's electoral
configuration structured around 5 clusters,
representing equivalent electoral potentials
situated around 15% each…
(Learn
more )
The GlobalEurometre - Results
& Analyses
With 36% only of positive opinion
against 41% of negative opinion, the
Europeans clearly waver over the value
of European forces' intervention in
Lebanon as part of their peacekeeping
mission between Israel and Hezbollah.
European leaders should start wondering
whether such results are due to the
lack of a clear political mandate for
the EU in the region, to the very limited
media coverage of the European presence
in Lebanon, or to some opposition to
this type of action…
(Learn
more )
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Version Française 
