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Global systemic crisis / Second half of 2010: The global system’s four single points of failure
The second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure of the international system... (page 2)
Western public debt: When insolvency becomes intolerable
Between now and the end of 2010 the whole world will have learned all the lessons from the « Greek crisis ». In fact, there are only two lessons to learn from… (page 5)
European austerity: When contextual growth is abandoned in favour of structural stability
In speaking of the Eurozone we have written about « a policy » of austerity and not « policies of austerity » as indeed Germany now sets the standards on the subject... (page 8)
Chinese inflation: When China is going to begin exporting its inflation
As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the Chinese new impetus plan is coming to an end and opens up two connected problems... (page 12)
US contraction: From « hidden mass austerity » to « imposed Federal austerity »
The November 2010 mid-term elections will be the first electoral test of a United States in crisis... (page 14)
Second series of elements for a methodology of political anticipation: Questions about source material and team management
Second series of excerpts from the Manual of Political Anticipation which LEAP will publish in October 2010. (page 19) (Learn more)
Strategic and operational recommendations for the second half of 2010
US municipal bond market (« munis »): The major shock
Currencies: The hurricane will strengthen with even higher waves!
World stock markets face the unthinkable
Gold, cash, precious metals, real estate… (page 23)
The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
Those polled are now unanimously agreed (a rare case for the GlobalEurometre) calling for the establishment of European and Asiatic rating agencies so as to no longer depend on the goodwill of Moody’s, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s.… (page 26)
Special subscribers’ announcements
EU-Russia seminar, Nice, September 23/24 septembre, 2010
Political Anticipation Academy, cycle 2010-2011 (page 30)
Europe 2020 is a website dedicated to European political anticipation. Developed in partnership with many different organisations including research centres and individual researchers, Europe 2020 website aims at promoting research in the field of European political anticipation and at circulating widely results of this research.
Simultaneously, Europe 2020 website provides support to innovating initiatives aimed at upgrading the European Union’s capacity to face 21st century challenges, namely:
. Democratisation of the European Union
. Invention of a commion external policy (in particular, contents developed by GlobalEurope 2020)
. Prospective analysis of the global systemic crisis
Europe 2020 website’s most striking features are:
1. it is the first European website of political anticipation, independent from any government, lobby, parti...
2. it operates in partnership with a large number of civil society organisations, companies, NGOs, and European and national public administrations (national Ministries of foreign affairs, European institutions, research centres); and from other continents.
3. it is rooted in the analyses, methods and expectations of the new generations of Europeans (born after the Treaty of Rome)
4. theoretical input is turned into action as it actively supports many large-scale events.
Europe 2020 website has developed four fields of intervention:
INFORMATION: Elements for a public debate in Europe
Europe 2020 Press Reviews
REFLEXION: Anticipation in the service of European decision-making
High-level anticipation seminars
Anticipation papers
Reports, Executive summaries
Monthly confidential letter (GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin - on subscription)
DEBATE: Articulation between citizens, « experts » and institutions
Actions conducted in partnership with citizen-based organisations
TRAINING: Preparing for tomorrow’s European human resources
Training Seminars to Political anticipation (namely in new member-states)
Specific training programmes : political anticipation, networking, innovation (enquiries: centre@europe2020.org)