Must read - "2015 - The big fall of Western real estate" by Sylvain Perifel and Philippe Schneider

The importance of the housing market in our economy necessitates that medium term developments be predicted to adjust strategies and investments, or to mitigate the consequences of its sharp changes. However, many articles drawing completely conflicting conclusions obscure our view.

This book sheds light on the question in anticipating, on a solid foundation the changes in residential property prices during the next decade. To this end, the phenomena involved are explained and the underlying trends and resulting findings analyzed, especially from economic, social and demographic factors.

The analyses and recommendations given in this book will help the various players in the housing market: households, investors and politicians.

14x20,5 cm - 188 pages - 20,00 €

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LEAP Academy - 2010/2011 Prom’

LEAP is proud to present the promotion of its second year of training in Political Anticipation :

Alfred Bricka, Administrateur de sociétés / Dominique Bruch, Consultant technique / Luc Brunet, Directeur du Centre National des Risques Industriels / Marianne Cormier, Juriste en cabinet d’avocats / Jérôme Gonzalez, Dirigeant d’une société de nouvelles technologies / Christel Hahn, PhD Physics / Patrick Lusson, Délégué général de la Région Rhône Alpes à Bruxelles / Edouard Payen, Arolla Partners, Mindfulness en entreprises (formation) / Sylvain Périfel, Enseignant chercheur / Margit Reiser-Schober, Political scientist, Public relation and Press officer / Philippe Schneider, Conseil en Gestion de Patrimoine Indépendant / Pedro Simoes, Etudiant / Juan Vargas, CEO Business Model Partners / Bernard Volatron, Independent analyst / Maria Zei, Ingénieur-chercheur études des risques

These fifteen people, coming from various sectors (finance, social, local communities,...), all readers of the GEAB, followed the three days of training proposed this year 2010/11 by LEAP, wrote high quality anticipations, and were thus awarded the LEAP Académie Certificate.

Franck Biancheri’s book "World crisis: The Path to the World Afterwards" published by éditions Anticipolis !

The financial and economic crisis that the world has been facing in the past two years marks the end of the world order established after 1945. In 1989, the “Soviet pillar” has collapsed and we are now witnessing the accelerated decomposition of the “Western pillar” with the United States at the heart of the process of disintegration...

Order from Editions Anticipolis

Do GEAB yourself with the ‘Manual of political anticipation’!

The Manual of Political Anticipation is now available in French, English, German and Spanish. Thanks to this tool designed by Marie-Hélène Caillol, head of LEAP, each and everyone can do his/her own GEAB and give some thought to the assets and limits of political anticipation. At a time when the world is crossing a critical historical threshold, this Manual is a unique decision support instrument for groups or individuals. The book is on sale on the website site of Anticipolis Publishing (60 pages / 10€).

Six years of GEAB archives now available for 220 euros!

Yesterday’s anticipation is today’s news!

For 220 euros TTC, get codes (for 1 month) and download all the archive-issues of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (1).

Order now!

(1) Important! This offer includes ALL past issues BUT the last 7 ones

GEAB N°76 (June 16, 2013) - Contents

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale

A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)

(En savoir +)

EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise

The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)

(En savoir +)

The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound

If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)

(En savoir +)

Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?

Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)

(En savoir +)

Strategic and operational recommendations

Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)

(En savoir +)

The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses

This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)

(En savoir +)


Strategic note, derived from the 4th Euro-BRICS seminar (Moscow, May 23-24th 2013)

SEMINAR’S FULL REPORT RECOMMENDATIONS TO G20 LEADERS, PRIOR TO ST PETERSBURG SUMMIT French translation of the Strategic Note Chinese translation of the Strategic Note Portuguese translation of the Strategic Note Russian translation of the Strategic Note The crisis of legitimacy faced by ...

Public announcement GEAB N°76 (June 16, 2013)

The 2008 shock was certainly violent, but the reactions of the system, countries and central banks with their bailouts on an unprecedented scale, managed to hide the worst consequences: downgrading of the West in general and the United States in particular, a forced cleanup of the economy, a ...

par Christel Hahn

Last summer (29.6.2012) the leaders of the alpine regions met in Bad Ragaz, Switzerland. In a way this was one of many similar meetings, but it was exceptional, because the number of participating regions had increased, among the participants there were representatives of the Italian Lega Nord ...

Report of the 3rd Euro-BRICS Seminar

PROGRAMME AND PARTICIPANTS The world continues to move through an historical crisis which marks the end of the systems and power relationships dominating the world since the end of the Second World War. The dynamics at the heart of the events of accelerated globalisation and markets’ unbridled ...

par Frédéric Beaugeard

Lorsqu’il s’agit de comprendre le Monde Contemporain en vue d’en analyser ses possibles futures évolutions, force est de constater que le principe apparent de synergie regroupant les différents éléments le composant n’était qu’une apparence trompeuse. Les principaux acteurs de la Modernité, Europe, ...

- Excerpt GEAB N°57 (September 15, 2011) -

On March 29, 2009, Franck Biancheri signed an open letter in the Financial Times international edition from LEAP/E2020 to the G20 leaders who were going to meet in London the next week. In its introduction, this text predicted that if the three recommendations it contained were not implemented ...

- Except book "World crisis - The Path to the World Afterwards" by Franck BIancheri, Director of Studies at LEAP and GEAB coordinator -

The crisis, because it wasn’t anticipated by world leaders, is advancing at its own speed. In 2009 the financial efforts, without historical precedent, of the United States, Europe, China, Japan and other countries have allowed only two things to happen: to anesthetize the general population in ...

by Jean-Paul GUICHARD, ’Jean Monnet’ European Chair, University of Nice Sophia-Antipolis

Careful thought on the finality of European programmes intended for the university level is a must. These programmes present a major flaw, essentially being one-way, but one which can be surmounted, as the University of Nice has proven with its considerable experience in teaching double degree ...

by Héctor R. Sánchez

"In the geopolitical sphere today, … , it is not unreasonable to say that, while the great continental powers in Eurasia, Russia, China and India, are in an excellent state of economic growth, technological development and growing political influence, the great maritime powers, like the United ...

by Prof. Loukas Tsoukalis*

As the drama unfolds and the plot thickens, new actors join the stage and the tension rises. Purgation, or catharsis, releases emotions at the final stage of Greek tragedies. We may soon find out what form this will take in the real life drama the Greek economy is going through today, with or ...

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