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GEAB N°76 (June 16, 2013) - Contents

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale

A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)

(En savoir +)

EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise

The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)

(En savoir +)

The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound

If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)

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Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?

Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)

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Strategic and operational recommendations

Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)

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The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses

This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)

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Marie-Hélène Caillol, French-speaking world Coordinator

Harald Greib, German-speaking world coordinator

Hector Sanchez, Spanish-speaking world coordinator

Franck Biancheri, Research coordinator

Michael Timmermans, Project officer

Valérie Thibault, Administrative officer

Researchers / Occasional collaborators

Daniel Baur, Institutions

Bernd Baumgartl, Education

Belisarius, Democratisation, Institutional reform

Franck Biancheri, Democratisation, Exeternal relations, Global politics

Marie-Hélène Caillol, Democratisation, Language policies

Marco Caselli, Democratisation

Aurélien Condomines, Corporate law

Henri de Courtivron, Economy, Finance

Magdolna Csath, Economy, Management

Filia Den Hollander, Democratisation

Jos de Beus, Political sciences

Marie-Laure Djelic, Transatlantic relations

Aziz Enhaili, Arab world

Mark L. Entin, Council of Europe

Yegor Feklitchev, UE-Russia relations

Charles Fletcher, Media

Pierre Gonod, Anticipation, Prospective

Harald Greib, Institutional reform, Justice, Immigration

Harry Hagopian, Middle-East

Régis Jamin, e-Technology, e-Democracy

Fred Lafeber, Institutions, Health

Josef Langer, Enlargement, Neighbourhood

Masha Moyak, National politics

Brian Murphy, Transatlantic relations

Matthew Omolesky, US look on EU

Philippe Portalier, Institutional reform, Lobbying

Nicholas Reed, Transatlantic relations, Education

Jonathan Robin, Internet Technology, IPv6

Tim Rogmans, Economy, management

Carlos Santiso, Global governance

Glenn M. Segell, Security

Kilian Strauss, Enlargement, Neighbourhood

Adrian Taylor, Transatlantic relations, Institutions

Ralf Teschner, Institutions

Laura Trofin, Regions, Administrations

V.P., Institutions

Thierry Warin, Economy

Sundeep Waslekar, Global politics

Contact email: centre@europe2020.org

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