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GEAB N°76 (June 16, 2013) - Contents

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale

A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)

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EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise

The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)

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The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound

If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)

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Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?

Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)

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Strategic and operational recommendations

Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)

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The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses

This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)

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Strategic Foresight Group

Strategic Foresight Group (SFG) is a laboratory of prospective studies based in Mumbay with the aim to help decision-makers anticipating and orienting the future amidst these days of uncertainty.

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Transatlantic Information Exchange System is an internet portal meant as a bridge between civil societies of both sides of the Atlantic, organised in sections corresponding to the main topics of Euro-American cooperation.

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Elections Election-Europe.com

Election-Europe.com organises, manages and offers all types of elections on Internet for political, corporate or NGO elections with a view to enhance people’s participation to the democratic processes of their country, their region, their company or their association.

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Newropeans Magazine

Newropeans Magazine is an independent trans-European online magazine developped for the exchange of views on the future of a democratic Europe.

European Observatory for Plurilingualism

The European Observatory for Plurilingualism aims at gathering policy-makers, researchers and members of civil society to clearly relate linguistic issues to their political, cultural, economic and social stakes both at the European and national levels.

Pierre Gonod

Futurist, futures theorist... "through a specific itinerary, futures studies are envisaged at the cross-road between a personality (forged by the stream of life), a responsible behaviour (turned towards the future), a scope of vision (the acquisition of a culture) mixed with external contingencies and personal events".

Young Israeli Forum for Cooperation

The Young Israeli Forum for Cooperation (YIFC) is an Israeli not-for-profit organization which is cultivating a generation of young leaders who seek to take an active role in shaping Israel’s future and, specifically, its relations with its Palestinian and European neighbors.

Reut Institute

Reut is an innovative policy group designed to provide real-time, long-term strategic decision-support to Israeli leaders and decision-makers.


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