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GEAB N°76 (June 16, 2013) - Contents

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale

A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)

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EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise

The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)

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The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound

If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)

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Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?

Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)

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Strategic and operational recommendations

Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)

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The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses

This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)

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Book Vision 2020

VISION 2020 : Reinventing Europe 2005-2020

A book remarked ever since its first publishing in June 2002
Jean Guyot, First financial director of the European Coal and Steel Community and former collaborator of Jean Monnet, prefaced the book.

President of the Hippocrène Foundation, the first financial director of CECA in 1951, Jean Monnet’s former collaborator, associated partner of the bank "Lazard", Jean Guyot is one of the pioneers of the European construction. He accepted to draft the preface of the Vision Europe 2020 : " Franck Biancheri’s protean activity could give the edge. This resolute European seems like he escapes time and space constraints. There is no moment in which his tireless capacity to take new initiatives does not work…"

European political high level figures are reacting at the distribution of Vision Europe 2020 in June 2002 : Tony Blair, Guy Verhofstadt, Jo Leinen, Roger Helmer

Many European citizens and media are making comments on Vision Europe 2020:

. " Congratulations for your courageous initiative for the future of Europe. It is a vision which deserves attention", J. L., Austria
. "We congratulate M Biancheri on his courageous submitting to this open virtual platform discussion his views of, and considerations on the future of the EU…", C. S., Belgium
. "Vision 2020 expresses a certain vision of Europe’s future, which is transparent through the 14 proposals and the general background of Europe 2020 " EUobserver


Introduction : The key problem of Europe in the decades to come is thus to reconcile the aspirations of democracy, unity and effective action: Europe no longer needs to be built, but rather to be governed effectively and democratically

14 strategic and operational proposals to build an effective and democratic European Union during the next two decades : a European Government at the head of two new administrative entities, the Heads of State and of Government at the head of the only European political executive, a powerful European Parliament integrating the European, national and regional levels, the elimination of the college of commissioners, the re-dynamisation of the Council of Europe so as to help structure the EU’s neighbourhood, a clear yet dynamic division of competences, democratic control of bureaucratic structures

100 pages of analyses and developments : the complete corpus

1. towards political Europe : placing the democratic necessity at the core of the construction
2. the reform of institutions : adapting the institutions to the challenges of the 21st century Europe
3. to succeed the enlargement : measuring the challenges and endowing ourselves with the appropriate strategies
4. the EU external relations : allowing the EU to take its responsabilities at international level. au niveau international


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