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GEAB N°76 (June 16, 2013) - Contents

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale

A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)

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EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise

The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)

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The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound

If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)

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Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?

Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)

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Strategic and operational recommendations

Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)

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The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses

This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)

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REPORT Euro-BRICS 2012-2014: Towards a set of thematic cooperation networks based on a specific political-diplomatic framework organized by LEAP in partnership with MGIMO PROGRAMME Thursday 27/09/2012 - Towards the development of Euro-BRICS thematic networks (Salle Estérel 1) 09.00 - 09.30 Welcome 09.30 - 10.00 Opening . Welcome word by Marie-Hélène Caillol, President LEAP/E2020 . Introduction by Valery Vorobiev, Vice-rector of MGIMO, Ambassador, Professor in title, Department of ...

5th GlobalEurope EU-Russia Seminar, May 23-24, 2011 (MGIMO, Moscow, Russia)

organized jointly by the Laboratoire Européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP), “Russkiy Mir” Foundation and the European Studies Institute of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) in partnership with the Europe 2020 network and in cooperation with the Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Russian Association of European Studies and Department of Oriental Studies of the MGIMO-University Executive summary PROGRAMME Debates moderated by Mark Entin and ...

Справочная информация - Семинар ЕС-Россия 2015 (Ницца, 23-24 сентября 2010 г.)

организованный совместно Европейской лабораторией политического прогнозирования (ЕЛПП), Московским государственным институтом международных отношений (МГИМО) и Университетом Ницца/София-Антиполис, во взаимодействии с Сетью Европа 2010, Российским университетом Дружбы народов и сетью кафедр им. Жана Моне Справочная информация Программа семинара Четверг, 23 сентября 2010 (зал Шато де Валроз – Ректорат Университета Ниццы) 10.30 – 11.00 : Приветственное слово . г-н Маруани, Президент Университета Ниццы-София Антиполис . Вступительная речь г-жи Николь Фонтэн, ...

4th GlobalEurope EU-Russia Seminar, Septembre 23rd-24th, 2010 (Nice, France)

Jointly organised by the Laboratoire Européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP), the Institute of European Studies of Moscow’s State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) and the University of Nice/Sophia-Antipolis in partnership with the Europe 2020 network, the Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia and the network of Jean Monnet Chairs Executive summary Programme Debates moderated by Franck Biancheri, Valery Vorobiev and Jean-Paul Guichard Thursday, September 23, 2010 (Salle ...

October 2009 - May 2010 (University Paris-La Sorbonne)

At the start of the new academic year (2009-2010), Laboratoire Européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP) and Paris-Sorbonne’s University’s Doctoral School of "Modern and Contemporary History" launch a research programme entitled "Europe. Anticipation. Strategy". Rythm: The programme consists of: . a series of 2-3 hour long sessions every other week, organised by University Paris-Sorbonne alone, led by Professor Edouard Husson (seminar); . and/or, 3 one-day sessions (one per term) of specific ...

Moscow (MGIMO), December 18th-19th, 2008

Co- organised by European Study Institute of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) and Laboratoire européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP/E2020) Preamble The world is going through a historic crisis putting an end to the systems and powers which dominated the world since the end the Second World War. In a few weeks time, the dynamics the fueled processes of globalization and endless market expansion in the past 20 years suddenly collapsed. International relations ...

Moscow (Hotel President), October 5, 2005

organized in partnership with The National Investment Council Concept In March 2004 in Warsaw (Foksal Palace) in partnership with the Diplomatic Academy of the Polish Foreign Ministry, Europe 2020 organised a seminar on the future Common EU Policy towards Russia as part of the GlobalEurope 2020 series of anticipation seminars (Invention phase). This seminar was attended by 75 participants (from 25 different member-states and from the European institutions), including European diplomats ...

Washington (Hamilton Hotel), April 5, 2005

In cooperation with Europe 2020, the European Institute hosted a seminar entitled, "Paths to a Future Common EU Policy Toward North America." The discussion consisted of two morning sessions, in which Global Europe 2020 presented their findings on transatlantic divergence before an international audience. Frank Biancheri, Director, Europe 2020, indicated that shifting interests, the success of European integration and the emergence of the post Cold-War generation have led transatlantic ...

Helsinki (Finlandia Hall), October 26 & 27, 2004

Organised in partnership with the Finnish Ministry of Foreign Affairs Seminar’s executive summary Concept This seventh GlobalEurope 2020 session will take place in Helsinki on October 26th and 27th. It will be organised by the Finnish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and holds a significant place in the GlobalEurope 2020 series. Indeed it will close the first cycle of GlobalEurope 2020 seminars which, over one year exactly (October 2003 – October 2004), managed to initiate a unique process ...

London (Foreign Office, Locarno Room), September 29, 2004

Organised in partnership with the Foreign & Commonwealth Office Seminar’s executive summary Concept Geographical and cultural distance are two fundamental parameters which have always characterised the relations between Europe and Asia. Indeed the road is long leading from one to the other, though both are birth places of major civilisations, and though both are the product of a long history and of a wide cultural diversity. Modern history has brought these two regions closer, ...

Lisbon (Belem Cultural Centre), July 9, 2004

Organised in partnership with the Portuguese Ministry of Foreign Affairs Seminar’s executive summary Concept Geographical remoteness and cultural proximity: such is the paradox on which relations between Europe and Latin America are based. From Spanish and Portuguese conquest to creation of independent republics, from massive migration flows coming from Europe during colonial conquest and Latin America’s development to Europe’s tradition of sheltering Latin American political refugees, ...

Brussels (Egmont Palace), May 5, 2004

Organised in partnership with the Belgian Ministry of Foreign Affairs Seminar’s executive summary Concept Relations between Europe and Africa are very ancient. Contrary to most other regions in the word, the EU has for itself a rather long experience of relation to African countries via the EU-ACP Agreements (Lome then Cotonou Conventions). For some EU States, these relations have both been very intimate and contrasted, e.g. the colonies contribute to fuel a feeling of European ...

Warsaw (Foksal Palace), March 12, 2004

Organised in partnership with the Diplomatic Academy of Poland Seminar’s executive summary Concept After the enlargement Russia will become an important direct neighbour of the European Union. Though this situation represents no change at all for the majority of new members which historically have always had common borders with Russia, it is a completely new situation for the Western part of the EU, core-group of the European project, which is just starting to become aware of the ...

The Hague (Clingendael Institute), January 28, 2004

Organised in partnership with the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs Seminar’s executive summary Concept Relations between EU and North America are the central strategic axis of international relations in the coming decades. Those two continents represent both the greatest democratic groups in the world and the richest economic areas on the planet. From their capacity to build common approaches on global issues and to solve their disagreements in a growing number of fields, will ...

Paris (Centre Kléber), October 14, 2003

Organised in partnership with the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs — > Seminar’s executive summary Concept If one word was to define Euro-Arab relations, this word would be “intimacy”, i.e. with all the ambiguity the word conveys: feeling of proximity and mutual knowledge on the one hand; uneasy overall understanding and muffled fears on the other. As if any proximity bore a risk. It is a relationship anchored in a past in which religions united, rather than separated, the two worlds. ...

Atlanta (Georgia Tech), April 12, 2002

Organised by the le EU Center of the University System of Georgia in collaboration with Europe 2020 Topic The theme for this year’s event is an exploration of the security dimension in the transatlantic context. Security is defined broadly to include topics ranging from defense to environment to immigration. Format To provide coherence to our efforts, we are assembling a working group to develop focused questions that will constitute the basis of conference deliberations. ...

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